Team Travel Effects and the College Football Betting Market

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

5-1-2017

Abstract

This research examines whether the college football betting line and over/under accurately assimilate travel effects on visiting teams, including time zones traversed; direction and distance traveled; and temperature, elevation, and aridity changes. We investigate the market’s accuracy at predicting winners, point differentials, and points scored and examine its market efficiency, that is, whether travel affects the chance the home team covers the spread or the chance that an “over” bet wins. The betting market is found to be an inaccurate and inefficient processor of travel effects, most consistently for late-season games involving an underdog with a 1-hr time deficit versus its opponent.

Publication Title

Journal of Sports Economics

Volume

18

Issue

4

First Page

388

Last Page

425

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1177/1527002515574514

ISSN

15270025

E-ISSN

15527794

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