Hurricane hazard assessment: Considerations for sea-level rise and climate change

Document Type

Conference Proceeding

Publication Date

1-1-2012

Abstract

Assessment of hurricane flooding risk is an essential component for effective coastal planning and engineering design. Existing methods for evaluating extreme-value flood statistics traditionally assume that flood conditions are stationary, such that historical information represents future conditions. However, dynamic changes in the environment, specifically changing sea levels and potential changes in hurricane intensity and rate of occurrence, mean that future flooding risk will not be adequately represented by historical conditions alone. In this paper, an approach is proposed for incorporating future sea level and hurricane climate projections into extreme-value flood probabilities and risk assessment.

Publication Title

Proceedings of the Coastal Engineering Conference

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.9753/icce.v33.management.7

ISSN

01613782

ISBN

9780989661119

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